How To Predict Which Chord Comes Next In A Song

Wouldn't it be nice if you could predict whichmost likely chords to occur in any given key.For
chord would probably come next in a song?I'veexample, if I am playing in the Key of C, and the
got some good news for you.It is possible. Notfirst chord is the C chord and I have to guess
100%, but somewhere on the order of 75% towhat the next chord is, I would guess that it
85% accurate.That's because music has FORM --would be either the F chord or the G chord. Why?
like the skeleton that holds your flesh, muscles,Because those are the other "family members".
and skin up. If you had no bones -- no skeleton --So we have narrowed the odds a great deal just
your flesh and all the other parts of you would fallby knowing who the members of the family
in a heap on the floor. Not a pretty picture. Butare.So how could I tell whether it should be F or
because you DO have a skeleton, you are able toG?If the melody is a "B", then the chord is
walk around and pretty accurately predict whichprobably a G chord. Why? Because "B" is in the G
way your next step will take you.chord, but is not in the F chord.
It's the same in music. Music has FORM -- aIf the melody is a "A", than I would guess that
skeleton to hold it up, hold it together. And thatthe chord is F. Why? Because "A" is in the F
skeleton is made out of chords -- harmony -- thechord, but is not in the G chord.
tonal center of the song or piece.In any given keyDoes that mean that there are always just 3
you can play in, there are PRIMARY CHORDS --chords in a song?No, but there are literally
chords that occur way more than other chords.hundreds of songs that are made of just 3
They are like family members of that particularchords.What if there are more than 3 chords in a
key.At your house, let's say you have 3 people insong? What then?We'll take that up in part 2 of
your family -- your spouse, your child, and you.this series of articles.Duane Shinn is the author of
On the same block, but down the street a fewover 500 music books and music educational
houses, lives your cousin and her family.materials such as DVD's, CD's, musical games for
At any given moment, who are the most likelykids, chord charts, musical software, and piano
people to be in your house?Steve Martin? Johnlesson instructional courses for adults. His
McCain? Barry Bonds?I don't think so.It's possible,book-CD-DVD course titled "How To Play Chord
of course, but not too likely. If I had to guess, IPiano In Ten Days!" has sold over 100,000 copies
would say it would be either you, your spouse, oraround the world. He holds advanced degrees
your child. It might be your cousin down thefrom Southern Oregon University and was the
street -- there's a much better chance of thatfounder of Piano University in Southern Oregon.
than, say, Mel Gibson -- but my best odds wouldHe is the author of the popular free 101-week
be to guess that the family members would beonline e-mail newsletter titled "Amazing Secrets Of
there.It's the same way with chords. In any givenExciting Piano Chords & Sizzling Chord
key, there are 3 "family members" that areProgressions" with over 70,000 current
residents of that key -- the I chord, the IV chord,subscribers.
and the V chord. They are far and away the